Fiscal Modeling Project: Five-Year Primary Government Model

• By

Scope: Develop a five-year fiscal model of the City of Jacksonville that equips civic leaders with actionable insights for strategic planning, investment, and reform. The City of Jacksonville must increase public investment.

  1. Taking Jacksonville from First-Class to World-Class
    Jacksonville is already a first-class city, but taking the city’s performance—in resident satisfaction, economics, quality of life, human capital, and physical environment—to the next level requires public investment.

  2. Paying for Big-Ticket Investments
    The City of Jacksonville has committed to or is considering several big-ticket investments. The City must ensure the revenue capacity to make such investments while continuing to provide quality daily services.

  3. Managing Revenue Volatility
    Certain City of Jacksonville revenue streams are highly variable and beyond the city’s purview. The city must account for this variability using steady revenue streams to ensure predictable public investment.

The model indicates flat revenue growth under baseline conditions while outlining scenarios in which economic and policy changes could expand revenues.